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evolution and ethics and other essays-第38部分

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swaying to and fro of the vast Mongolian hordes in late times; the
population problem comes to the front in a very visible shape。 Nor is
it less plainly manifest in the everlasting agrarian questions of
ancient Rome than in the Arreoi societies of the Polynesian Islands。

In the ancient world; and in a large part of that in which we live;
the practice of infanticide was; or is; a regular and legal custom;
famine; pestilence; and war were and are normal factors in the
struggle for existence; and they have served; in a gross and brutal
fashion; to mitigate the intensity of the effects of its chief cause。

But; in the more advanced civilizations; the progress of private and
public morality has steadily tended to remove all these checks。 We
declare infanticide murder; and punish it as such; we decree; not
quite so successfully; that no one shall die of hunger; we regard
death from preventible causes of other kinds as a sort of constructive
murder; and eliminate pestilence to the best of our ability; we
declaim against the curse '209' of war; and the wickedness of the
military spirit; and we are never weary of dilating on the blessedness
of peace and the innocent beneficence of Industry。 In their moments of
expansion; even statesmen and men of business go thus far。 The finer
spirits look to an ideal civitas Dei; a state when; every man having
reached the point of absolute self…negation; and having nothing but
moral perfection to strive after; peace will truly reign; not merely
among nations; but among men; and the struggle for existence will be
at an end。

Whether human nature is competent; under any circumstances; to reach;
or even seriously advance towards; this ideal condition; is a question
which need not be discussed。 It will be admitted that mankind has not
yet reached this stage by a very long way; and my business is with the
present。 And that which I wish to point out is that; so long as the
natural man increases and multiplies without restraint; so long will
peace and industry not only permit; but they will necessitate; a
struggle for existence as sharp as any that ever went on under the
regime of war。 If Istar is to reign on the one hand; she will demand
her human sacrifices on the other。

Let us look at home。 For seventy years peace and industry have had
their way among us with less interruption and under more favourable
conditions than in any other country on the face of the earth。 The
wealth of Croesus was nothing to '210' that which we have accumulated;
and our prosperity has filled the world with envy。 But Nemesis did not
forget Croesus: has she forgotten us?

I think not。 There are now 36;000;000 of people in our islands; and
every year considerably more than 300;000 are added to our numbers。*
That is to say; about every hundred seconds; or so; a new claimant to
a share in the common stock or maintenance presents him or herself
among us。 At the present time; the produce of the soil does not
suffice to feed half its population。  The other moiety has to be
supplied with food which must be bought from the people of
food…producing countries。 That is to say; we have to offer them the
things which they want in exchange for the things we want。 And the
things they want and which we can produce better than they can are
mainly manufacturesindustrial products。

    * These numbers are only approximately accurate。 In 1881; our
    population amounted to 35;241;482; exceeding the number in 1871
    by 3;396;103。 The average annual increase in the decennial。
    18711881 is therefore 339;610。 The number of minutes in a
    calendar year is 525;600。

The insolent reproach of the first Napoleon had a very solid
foundation。 We not only are; but; under penalty of starvation; we are
bound to be; a nation of shopkeepers。 But other nations also lie under
the same necessity of keeping shop; and some of them deal in the same
goods as ourselves。 Our customers naturally seek to get the most and
'211' the best in exchange for their produce。 If our goods are
inferior to those of our competitors; there is no ground; compatible
with the sanity of the buyers; which can be alleged; why they should
not prefer the latter。 And; if that result should ever take place on a
large and general scale; five or six millions of us would soon have
nothing to eat。 We know what the cotton famine was; and we can
therefore form some notion of what a dearth of customers would be。

Judged by an ethical standard; nothing can be less satisfactory than
the position in which we find ourselves。 In a real; though incomplete;
degree we have attained the condition of peace which is the main
object of social organization; and; for argument's sake; it may be
assumed that we desire nothing but that which is in itself innocent
and praiseworthynamely; the enjoyment of the fruits of honest
industry。 And lo! in spite of ourselves; we are in reality engaged in
an internecine struggle for existence with our presumably no less
peaceful and well…meaning neighbours。 We seek peace and we do not
ensue it。 The moral nature in us asks for no more than is compatible
with the general good; the non…moral nature proclaims and acts upon
that fine old Scottish family motto; 〃Thou shalt starve ere I want。〃
Let us be under no illusions; then。 So long as unlimited multiplication
goes on; no social organization which has ever been devised; or is
likely to '212' be devised; no fiddle…faddling with the distribution
of wealth; will deliver society from the tendency to be destroyed by
the reproduction within itself; in its intensest form; of that
struggle for existence the limitation of which is the object of
society。 And however shocking to the moral sense this eternal
competition of man against man and of nation against nation may be;
however revolting may be the accumulation of misery at the negative
pole of society; in contrast with that of monstrous wealth at the
positive pole;* this state of things must abide; and grow continually
worse; so long as Istar holds her way unchecked。 It is the true riddle
of the Sphinx; and every nation which does not solve it will sooner or
later be devoured by the monster itself has generated。

The practical and pressing question for us; just now; seems to me to be
how to gain time。 〃Time brings counsel;〃 as the Teutonic proverb has
it; and wiser folk among our posterity may see their way out of that
which at present looks like an impasse。

It would be folly to entertain any ill…feeling towards those neighbours
and rivals who; like ourselves; are slaves of Istar; but; if somebody
is to be starved; the modern world has no Oracle of Delphi to which
the nations can appeal for an '213' indication of the victim。 It is
open to us to try our fortune; and; if we avoid impending fate; there
will be a certain ground for believing that we are the right people to
escape。 Securus judicat orbis。

    * 'It is hard to say whether the increase of the unemployed
    poor; or that of the unemployed rich; is the greater social
    evil。  1894'

To this end; it is well to look into the necessary condition of our
salvation by works。 They are two; one plain to all the world
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